Sports analytics

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Sports analytics are a collection of statistics or biometric data that can provide a team or individual a competitive advantage. Through the collection, refinement, and analysis of data, coaches and other staff members are able to inform athletes about their performance in order to assist decision making both during and prior to sporting events. [1] There are still ongoing discussions and research about ethical issues in sports analytics, including topics such as data ownership, fair play, and sports betting. The term "sports analytics" was popularized by the 2011 film, Moneyball, in which Oakland Athletics General Manager Billy Beane (played by Brad Pitt) relies heavily on the use of player analytics to build a competitive MLB team on a limited budget. [2]

There are two main types of sports analytics - on-field analytics and off-field analytics. On-field analytics involves tracking key on-field metrics that may influence an athlete's methodologies and in-game strategy. It also involves tracking an athlete's biometric data and vitals to influence their training or performance levels. Off-field analytics deals with the business side of sports. It handles monitoring key off-field metrics like ticket sales, merchandise sales, and fan engagement. Essentially, it provides shareholders with information that would lead to higher growth and profits. [3]

Sport-specific analytics

Major League Baseball (MLB)

Sports analytics in baseball, also known as sabermetrics, is the application of statistical analysis to baseball in order to measure in-game activity. The term is derived from the acronym SABR, which stands for the Society for American Baseball Research, founded in 1971. The field was popularized by American baseball writer, historian, and statistician Bill James in the 1980s and has since been used by many major league baseball teams to assist in decision making. Sabermetrics can be used to measure a player's performance, a team's performance, and even the performance of individual pitches. It can also be used to make predictions about future performance and to identify undervalued players. Some common statistics that have become vital to the game include: [4]

  • Batting average measures a player's batting performance by dividing the number of hits by the number of at-bats. As one of the most commonly discussed baseball statistics, it primarily shows a player's tendencies when batting against different types of pitches. Batting average is expressed a decimal to three decimal points. A player with a batting average of .300 is commonly said to be "batting three-hundred". Batting averages could be taken beyond the .001 measurement. In this context, .001 is considered a "point", such that a .235 batter is 5 points higher than a .230 batter. A high batting average is considered an indicator of a good batter.
  • On-base percentage (OBP) is the percentage of times a player reaches a base. It's significance as an offensive statistic is vital, as it identifies how often a batter can avoid being put out at the plate. It takes into consideration whether the batter hits, walks, or being hit by a pitch.
  • Slugging average (SLG) is a calculation that showcases the number of bases a player earns based on their hits. The higher the slugging average, the more likely the batter is going to hit for extra bases (i.e. a double, triple, or home run). Batters now watch film and study the tendencies of pitchers in an attempt to increase their slugging average.
  • Walks plus Hits per Inning Pitched (WHIP) is a metric that measures how successful a pitcher is based on how many baserunners are allowed on both hits and walks. It also measures a pitcher's efficiency. Pitchers also watch film and study batters to help determine the type and location of the pitch to increase their WHIP.
True Shooting Percentage of the 2014 Miami Heat [5]

National Basketball Association (NBA)

The field of basketball analytics has recently seen a large surge in popularity in the last decade, with many teams in the NBA utilizing advanced statistical methods to analyze player roster, team shot selection, and offensive/defensive performance. The use of analytics in basketball is based on the idea that traditional basketball statistics, such as points scored, assists, and rebounds, turnover, etc. do not fully capture a player's or team's performance. Popular metrics used by many teams include:[6]

  • Player Efficiency Rating (PER) is a player metric developed by ESPN.com columnist John Hollinger. The PER sums up all a player's positive accomplishments, subtracts the negative accomplishments, and returns a per-minute rating of a player's performance.
  • Win Shares is used to estimate the number of wins contributed by a player.
  • Offensive and Defensive Rating are team based metrics that rates how effective a team is on the offensive and defensive side. Offensive Rating is the number of points scored per 100 possessions and Defensive Rating is the number of points allowed per 100 possessions.
  • Plus/Minus (+/-), also known as box score, measures the point differential when a player is on the court per 100 possessions compared to a league-average player.
  • True Shooting Percentage (TS%) is a measure of a player's shooting efficiency that takes into account field goals, three-point field goals, and free throws.

National Football League (NFL)

Sports analytics in the NFL was thought to first appear on a fan made website Football Outsiders in 2003. It pioneered American football's first comprehensive advanced metric, Defense-adjusted Value Over Average (DVOA), which compares the success of a player on each play to the league average. Variables including down, distance, location on field, current score differential, quarter, and strength of opponent all factor into DVOA. A few year later, Pro Football Focus launched a statistical database and featured a new player grading system and the following statistics: [7]

  • Expected Points Added (EPA) is the difference between a team’s Expected Points at the end of a play and their Expected Points at the beginning of a play.
  • Plus/Minus (+/-) is a metric that compares a receiver's number of catches to his expected number of catches adjusting for uncatchable passes.

National Hockey League (NHL)

The NHL has recorded game statistics since its inception, yet is relatively new in terms of adopting analytics-based decision making. In 2014, the Toronto Maple Leafs hired assistant general manager Kyle Dubas as the first member of management with a major analytical background. The three most commonly used basic statistics in the NHL include: [8]

  • Corsi, also known as shot attempts, is the sum of shots on goal, missed shots and blocked shots. It was named after coach Jim Corsi, but was actually created by a blogger who developed statistics to better measure the workload of a goaltender during a game. In modern day, Corsi For percentage (CF%) approximates the length of time a team or player possess the puck. Most players have a CF% between 40 and 60. Players or teams that have a CF% over 55% are considered by many to be elite.
  • Fenwick, also known as unblocked shot attempts, is a variation of Corsi that only counts shots on goal and missed shots; blocked shots, either for or against are not included. Fenwick helps a team or player judge performances that use shot blocking in their game plan.
  • xG is a model that gives each shot attempt a value based on it's type and shot location. It takes into account whether shots are coming off rebounds or rush chances. This metric compensates for some of the problems with Corsi, where every shot has equal value. The more high quality shots a player attempts, the more likely they are to score.

Fédération Internationale De Football Association (FIFA)

FIFA, the governing body of soccer worldwide, uses sports analytics to gain insight and make decisions about the sport. One way FIFA uses analytics is through player tracking and performance analysis. This involves using technology such as GPS and accelerometers to track the movement and performance of players during a game. This data is then analyzed to identify areas where players need to improve and to evaluate the physical demands of the sport. FIFA also uses analytics to identify trends and patterns in the game. This can be used to make decisions about rule changes or to improve the overall quality of the game. For example, FIFA has used analytics to identify that the number of goals scored in international matches has been decreasing over time and has used this information to make changes to the rules of the game to encourage more scoring. FIFA also uses analytics to evaluate the performance of teams and players in different leagues and competitions. This can be used to identify the top teams and players in the world and to make decisions about which teams and players should be invited to participate in major tournaments such as the World Cup. [9]

Ethics

Data Privacy

Teams have a strong interest in gaining comprehensive information about player's health and performance, which can push the limits of the employee-employer relationship with respect to privacy. Professional teams have nearly unlimited access to health information for both current and prospective players. Sports data is also considered an intellectual property asset because players typically sign a Collective Bargaining Agreement contract. Leagues and teams have claimed ownership of sports data, with the business plan of selling their official data to data analytics companies and oddsmakers, or charging integrity or data rights fees to the gambling industry. Wearable biometric devices are ever increasingly more popular because not only do they track important biodata, they offer the ability to monitor an athlete's location, movement, and behaviors in and out of the sport.[10]

Confidentiality is an extension of privacy in that it refers to data already collected and access to those data: who sees them and how they are protected and used. Leagues, other teams, fans, and other stakeholders are considerably interested in this information. Questions about who is granted access to biometric data and for what purpose? Or do the players have a say or financial benefit if the team sells its data? come up as a particular concern. Even if medical practitioners or team doctors agree to professional standards of confidentiality, other staff members like trainers, physical therapists, and coaches do not. [10] Anonymizing player data is not a viable solution because the utility of biometric data is linked to the individual players. These ethical questions aren't currently troubling investors as more than 3,000 deals involving companies that deal with data in sports have been signed between 2014 and 2019.[11]

Data Validity

A growing concern in sports analytics is that the appeal of biometric data relies heavily on the assumption that the data is more precise and objective compared to other forms of metrics, that they operate in a smaller margin of error or bias, and that the data is easily interpretable and actionable. However, current algorithms that measure heart health via electronic watch use algorithms that are questionable in the medical field. [10]

The reliability of sport tracking data is crucial as it greatly impacts performance decisions. Incorrect readings or analysis will lead to over- or under-determination of performance capabilities and subsequently harmful decisions may be made. An athlete might push themselves mentally and physically to the extreme to some performance detriment. Analytical models based on algorithms are also vulnerable to algorithm bias, where systemic errors in systems may create "unfair" analysis for certain groups of people. The analysis of sport biometric data presents a unique challenge to algorithms: there is an overload of data that requires interpretation but an undersupply of historical, validated data to develop a valid algorithm. [12]

Fair Play

With the advent of sports analytics and advancements in modern technology, players and teams have access to an unprecedented amount of tools and information to gain an advantage against their opponent. For example, many NBA teams now use high-quality motion tracking cameras positioned near the backboard that trace the ball as it enters the basket and notes the shooter's position. The ball's arc, alignment, and depth are also tracked which provides a player with exponentially more detail about a their shooting than a simple make-or-miss notation could ever tell. [13] Players and teams who lack access to these resources or technology may fall short of the competition and certain sports may fail to uphold a level playing field for all athletes. Information sharing may threaten competition as the exchange of data between competitors may give an indication to future strategy. The European football industry has proposed the idea of harmonisation, where a majority of competitors take data from a single source and or rely on the same data processing mechanism or algorithms. However, this may have an impact of the competitive function of the market. [14]

Gambling

Sports analytics have also had a significant impact on Online Sports Betting as bettors now have access to more information to aid decision making. New avenues of gambling, like parlays and fantasy leagues have lead to the rise of new analytical tools. For example, companies and webpages can now provide fans with up to the minute information for their betting needs. [15] In 2018, MGM Resorts entered into a 3-year deal with the NBA to recieve league-verified data for around $25 million, followed by similar deals with the NHL and MLB. The ownership of an athletes data comes into question as cybersecurity experts warn about the risks posed by the financial risks inherited by a casino's sports book. Who can purchase data directly from professional sports organizations? How secure are casinos storing sports data? With the slim margins that sports betting is known to have, data ethics may be disregarded for larger profits.[16]

References

  1. What is sports analytics? (with tips) | Indeed.com canada. Indeed.com. (2021, September 29). Retrieved February 7, 2023, from https://ca.indeed.com/career-advice/finding-a-job/what-is-sports-analytics
  2. Luca, D. M., Horovitz, R., Pitt, B., Zaillian, S., Sorkin, A., & Chervin, S. (n.d.). Moneyball.
  3. Pykes, K. (2022, November 24). Sports analytics: How different sports use data analytics. DataCamp. Retrieved January 25, 2023, from https://www.datacamp.com/blog/sports-analytics-how-different-sports-use-data-analysis
  4. Goldstein, P. (2022, November 14). Baseball is bringing sports analytics to the forefront. BizTech. Retrieved January 25, 2023, from https://biztechmagazine.com/article/2017/07/baseball-bringing-sports-analytics-forefront
  5. Harper Jan 9, Z. (2015, June 2). Miami heat are currently the best shooting team in NBA history. CBSSports.com. Retrieved February 7, 2023, from https://www.cbssports.com/nba/news/miami-heat-are-currently-the-best-shooting-team-in-nba-history/
  6. Glossary. Basketball Reference. Retrieved January 25, 2023, from https://www.basketball-reference.com/about/glossary.html
  7. Greer, R. (2021, October 23). What are expected points added (EPA) in the NFL. nfelo.app. Retrieved January 25, 2023, from https://www.nfeloapp.com/analysis/expected-points-added-epa-nfl/
  8. Wheeldon, J. (2017, December 5). The Future of Hockey Analytics. The Hockey Writers. Retrieved January 25, 2023, from https://thehockeywriters.com/future-of-hockey-analytics/
  9. https://www.fifa.com/tournaments/mens/arabcup/arabcup2021/media-releases/the-future-is-now-fifa-bringing-performance-analytics-to-a-whole-new-level
  10. 10.0 10.1 10.2 Katrina Karkazis & Jennifer R. Fishman (2017) Tracking U.S. Professional Athletes: The Ethics of Biometric Technologies, The American Journal of Bioethics, 17:1, 45-60, DOI: 10.1080/15265161.2016.1251633
  11. Rand, K. R. L. (2021, March 11). Sports betting and data security: Cybersecurity, Data Protection, and privacy rights in gaming law practice. Business Law Today from ABA. Retrieved January 25, 2023, from https://businesslawtoday.org/2021/02/sports-betting-data-security-cybersecurity-data-protection-privacy-rights-gaming-law-practice/
  12. Newman, C. (2022, December 12). The wide world of possibility in sports analytics. School of Data Science. Retrieved January 25, 2023, from https://datascience.virginia.edu/news/wide-world-possibility-sports-analytics
  13. Noah Basketball - Pillar Vision Inc. -. (n.d.). Noah basketball. Noah Basketball. Retrieved January 25, 2023, from https://www.noahbasketball.com/product
  14. Flanagan, C. A., (2022) “Stats Entertainment: The Legal and Regulatory Issues Arising from the Data Analytics Movement in Association Football. Part Two: Data Privacy, the Broader Legal Context, and Conclusions of the Legal Aspects of Data Analytics in Football”, Entertainment and Sports Law Journal 19(1). doi: https://doi.org/10.16997/eslj.1082
  15. Sports analytics - how predictive sports betting analytics works. PlayNY. (2022, September 6). Retrieved February 7, 2023, from https://www.playny.com/sports-betting/analytics/
  16. Americanbar.org. (n.d.). Retrieved February 7, 2023, from https://www.americanbar.org/groups/business_law/publications/blt/2021/02/sports-betting/